Ethereum: Why is 6 the number of confirms that is considered secure?

The Math Behind Ethereum’s Consensus Mechanism: Unraveling the Mystery of 6 Confirmations

Ethereum, one of the largest and most successful decentralized applications (dApps) on the blockchain, has been operational since 2015. At its core, Ethereum is a proof-of-work (PoW) consensus algorithm that secures transactions on its network by requiring miners to solve complex mathematical problems. But what makes this particular number of confirmations—six—so secure? In this article, we’ll delve into the mathematical underpinnings of Ethereum’s consensus mechanism and explore the reasons for this seemingly arbitrary choice.

The Mathematical Framework: Hash Functions

Ethereum: Why is 6 the number of confirms that is considered secure?

To understand why 6 is considered an appropriate number of confirmations, it’s essential to understand the fundamental mathematics behind Ethereum’s PoW consensus. The process involves creating a digital fingerprint, called a “hash,” for each transaction. This hash serves as a unique identifier for that particular transaction.

The key is how these hashes are generated and verified. In Ethereum, each block contains a list of unconfirmed transactions, which are then combined into a single hash value using a combination of cryptographic techniques. This process is repeated multiple times in each block until the total hash length of the block exceeds a certain threshold (called the “target hash”).

The difficulty in reaching this target hash lies in solving a complex mathematical problem: finding a set of numbers, called “nonces,” such that they satisfy the following equation:

h(n) = h(n + 1) ^ r + s

where h(n) is the hash value of the current block, h(n+1) is the target hash value, r and s are parameters set by miners (more on this below), and n is the number of unconfirmed transactions in the block.

The Relationship Between Confirmation Count and Difficulty

Now that we understand the mathematical framework behind Ethereum’s PoW consensus, let’s look at the relationship between confirmation count and difficulty level. In simpler terms, a higher number of confirmations requires more computing power from miners to solve complex mathematical problems.

As the total number of transactions increases (i.e., more blocks are mined), the probability that at least one miner will find a solution to the above equation in a reasonable amount of time also increases. This is called the “target hashrate” or “difficulty level.” Essentially, increasing the number of confirmations means increasing the difficulty level.

Why 6? The Answer Lies in Historical Context

While mathematical explanations are essential, they don’t always take into account historical context and practical considerations. It is possible that the choice of six as the threshold is simply a matter of convention or design decision by the Ethereum development team.

One theory suggests that the number seven was chosen because of its association with perfection (e.g. in mathematics). Another idea suggests that it may be related to the seven deadly sins, a concept used by some ancient philosophers. However, these theories are unfounded and lack concrete evidence.

Conclusion: 6 confirmations, but why?

In conclusion, while mathematical explanations can provide insight into Ethereum’s consensus mechanism, they do not fully explain why six is ​​considered the optimal number of confirmations. The answer lies in a combination of historical context, practical considerations, and design decisions made by the development team.

Balancing computing power and difficulty level is essential to ensure sustainability and scalability. While higher numbers can provide greater security, increasing the difficulty level too high can make Ethereum less suitable for certain use cases.


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